Eric, the white evangelicals who support McCain are no more stupid than the liberal anti-War activists who support Hillary. Neither are going to get what they want. The problem is that most evangelicals are shallow and uninformed, not stupid. Once these contests get going they take on a momentum all their own and then people start paying attention. (This is why Rudy’s strategy was so obviously stupid, and any novice could have told him so.) So the average white evangelical is saying to themselves not “Who should I vote for? Who supports what I support?” but rather “Should I vote for Romeny or McCain because those appear to be my two choices.”
I do not know what it will take to change this dynamic.