Over at antiwar.com, William Lind reports on the other election:
At present some, polls suggest the Likud Party will win. If that happens, it will mean as much for America as for Israel. Why? Because America’s Middle Eastern policy is effectively the tail on Likud’s dog.
Those who imagine an Obama victory will see the neocons shown the door are in for an unpleasant surprise. Under the guise of neo-libs, they are no less influential in the Democratic establishment than in the Republican.
A Likud government in Israel come next spring would make two wars virtually certain: a war between Israel and Hezbollah and another between Israel and Iran.
Our strategic position in Iraq hangs by a thread, its long, thin supply line coming up through the Persian Gulf and Kuwait. If Iran and its allied Iraqi Shi’ite militias cut that line, the best outcome we can hope for is a sauve qui peut withdrawal of U.S. forces north into Kurdistan.
Those countries still exporting oil might dump the dollar and demand payment in gold. The American defense budget could skyrocket at a time when the U.S. faced an urgent need to cut federal spending, leading to printing-press dollars and hyperinflation.
The West might be going out with a whimper, but the US appears set on going out with a bang. It’s hard to dismiss someone like Lind, but I hope he’s wrong.